manufacturing tremendously," explains phoenix restaurants said Patricia wearephoenix investigates Mears, director of international commercial affairs for the National Assn. of Manufacturers. "When I talk to our members, many say, 'I'm much more competitive now than a few years ago,' " she said. The nation shipped a record $137. 7 billion worth of goods and services abroad in July, 15% more than in July 2006, government data show. Even so, Americans' purchases of imports -- including foreign oil -- still far outstrip what U. S companies export. Imports reached $196. 9 billion in July, up 5% from a year earlier. The gap between imports and exports is the trade deficit The broadest measure of the U. S. trade picture is the so-called current account, which includes investment flows. The deficit in the current account reached a record $811 billion last year, more than twice what it was as recently as 2001. This year the deficit has been shrinking modestly, helped by the surge in exports. But the gap remains massive -- another reason, many economists say, that the dollar is likely to keep falling in value. Officially, the Bush administration, like its predecessors, has said it favors a "strong" U. S currency But Treasury Secretary Henry M Paulson Jr. also has repeated in recent months that the White House believes currency values should be set by the marketplace. Among economists, the widespread view is that the dollar will keep declining.

Some believe, however, that the trend could speed up. If the dollar loses value too quickly, it could wreak havoc on the economy and financial markets -- driving up interest rates and inflation and slashing Americans' purchasing power, said Peter Schiff, who heads money management firm Euro Pacific Capital in Darien, Conn. Schiff sees a crucial test looming for the dollar and the economy: When Federal Reserve policymakers meet Tuesday, they are expected to cut their benchmark short-term interest rate, now 5. 25%, to ease concerns that the housing market's woes could drag the rest of the economy into recession. With the dollar in a renewed sinking spell in recent weeks, the danger is that a Fed rate cut could spark a much faster downward spiral in the currency Phoenix . That could occur if lower interest rates on dollar-denominated bonds caused foreign investors to balk at buying more, or encouraged them to sell U. S phoenix "day . securities and invest their money elsewhere in the world. Worse, wholesale flight of foreign money from U. S phoenixjp . bonds could drive up long-term interest rates if the Treasury and other debtors have to pay more to attract investors to their securities. If the Fed were to cut short-term rates but long-term rates rose, "that would be a really unpleasant scenario for the housing market," said Brad Setser, head of global research at Roubini Global Economics in New York. But predictions of a dollar meltdown have been common fare on Wall Street since the late 1980s phoenic . They have yet to come true. In part, that reflects the reality of global finances. Asia and the Middle East are swimming in dollars they take in from their exports That money has to be invested somewhere, and the U . S. -- still viewed as the world's most stable big democracy -- remains a prime destination. "The world has excess savings and doesn't know what to do with it," said Marc Chandler, head of foreign currency strategy at investment firm Brown Bros Harriman in New York. Foreigners' willingness to finance U. S.

consumption also is self-serving: By helping to keep America spending, China and other exporters underwrite a huge market for their own goods. Schiff, however, contends that that era is coming to an end, because the rise of many developing economies is creating a burgeoning marketplace for goods and services outside the U. S restaurant phoenix . He sees a dramatic decline in the dollar in the next few years because he believes the U. S phoenis. will lose its investment appeal. Many economists have a more sanguine view phonenix . They expect the trend to be more of the same: a gradual weakening of the dollar that will further shrink the trade deficit, as imports become more expensive for Americans and U. S phonix . goods become more competitive abroad. But Setser agrees that a gradual adjustment will depend on China, Russia, South Korea and other up-and-coming economies staying heavily invested in dollar-denominated debt and other U. S. securities. The big uncertainty, he said, is whether at some point the risk of financing the U. S economy "becomes too much even for them. "--tom. petruno. With Major League Baseball entering the final two weeks of the regular season, the bidding for the Chicago Cubs is about to move into the hardball stage. Tribune Co.

announced in May that it would sell the marquee franchise after the current season as part of its privatization deal with Chicago real estate mogul Sam Zell phoenix rising . Estimates of the value of the team, its historic home at Wrigley Field and Tribune's 25% share of Comcast SportsNet, a regional cable TV network, have rocketed to $1 billion and beyond. The Cubs, after all, are among the biggest draws in the major leagues poenix . About 3. 1 million fans flooded into Wrigley last year, keeping the stadium 93% filled despite the team's poor on-field performance phoeniz . The Cubs finished in last place in the National League's Central Division, although they've come back this year and held on to first place by a slim margin going into Friday night's game with the St pheonix . Louis Cardinals. But Tribune, which also owns The Times, is now pondering whether it might get more money by selling the pieces separately, according to people close to the Tribune transaction. Among other things, that would limit Commissioner Bud Selig's influence over the deal because Major League Baseball's authority extends only to the team itself. Selig has been accused of steering previous franchise sales toward bidders he favors, even when higher offers have been on the table, and he may have a strong preference this time. A piecemeal transaction would also make the sale more complicated and probably push the timeline for its completion past the end of this year.

And the league says it would represent a change of signals from Tribune. "They've told us they're going to package them together," Selig said in an interview Phoenix 150 . Sports-marketing experts generally believe that, in the end, a single deal will be made phoenix travel . But a Tribune source said the offering document provided to the league didn't commit the company to any specific combination. Zell would have veto power over major transactions once he becomes Tribune's chairman if and when the deal is completed, possibly around the end of this year if i ever feel better . Yet even now Zell, who holds one of the seven seats on the Tribune board, has a significant voice in corporate matters and wouldn't take kindly to being strong-armed into accepting less than the highest bid. The Cubs deal may develop into an unusual public spectacle consolation prizes . Unlike most franchise sales, which involve groups of private individuals as buyers and sellers, this one involves a public corporation that has a fiduciary duty to obtain the best return for shareholders by accepting the highest offer, regardless of the bidder's identity Phoenix 150 - lancepowersports . On the other hand, as a group of private franchise owners engaged in a joint undertaking, Major League Baseball has a clear interest in approving sales only to buyers with whom the owners are comfortable -- not necessarily the highest bidders phenix . The transfer of any franchise requires the approval of 23 of the 30 team owners. "You're asking to be a member of a club, and the club has a right to say no, a former MLB executive said. "So this pits the principle of fiduciary responsibility against the right to belong to a club. The odds are it's going to be a long, drawn-out process. "The last time those principles were in such stark conflict was 2001, when the sellers of the Boston Red Sox accepted a $700-million bid from a group headed by baseball insider John Henry over two higher bids, including a $790-million offer from cable mogul Charles Dolan.

The team and the league justified the outcome by arguing that the Henry group had a better chance of winning prompt league approval and the expected delay in the league's scrutiny of Dolan's bid would be costly to the sellers. Still, the gap was so wide that Massachusetts Atty Gen Thomas F Phoenix 150 - scooterwiki . Phoenix 150 tickets Reilly threatened to block the sale on the grounds that it shortchanged the team's majority owner, a group of charitable trusts phoneix . After Reilly accused the league of "calling the shots" on the deal, it was restructured to give the trusts a larger share of the proceeds. In the case of the Cubs, the suitor with the putative inside track because of its link to Selig is a group of Chicago businessmen led by John A thomas mars . Canning Jr. , chairman of the private equity firm Madison Dearborn Partners . Canning holds a part-interest in the Milwaukee Brewers, of which Selig was formerly the principal owner; he would have to divest that interest to acquire the Cubs. His group reportedly includes Andrew McKenna, the chairman of Chicago-based McDonald's Corp. and a former Cubs chairman. Among the other interested parties is dot-com billionaire Mark Cuban, the owner of the National Basketball Assn. 's Dallas Mavericks.

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